We’re winding down with the college football season, and the Pac-12 has one of the conference races that is still undecided. Oregon vs Utah is an important game for that race, given Utah’s 6-1 conference record. That places them at first in the Pac-12 South for now, but the division has been chaotic all year and they still have to hold back a 5-2 Arizona State for the final two games of the season to hold on.
Can Utah get some security in their hunt for the division title by getting a major upset tonight? Or will the top five Ducks team hold on without looking forward too much, and clinch the North?
Oregon vs Utah Odds
These odds are taken from Yahoo Sports at the time of writing.
- Oregon: +135
- Utah: -160
- Oregon: +3 (-105)
- Utah: -3 (-115)
- Over: 58.5 (-105)
- Under: 58.5 (-115)
Prediction: Can Ducks Live Up To Their Ranking?
You might have noticed something peculiar about this one. Oregon is ranked number 4 in the AP poll, but comes in as the underdog in this road game. It just goes to show how the top talent is a bit closer to the rest of the conference in the Pac-12, and raises the question of whether Oregon deserves their ranking.
Oregon, of course, can answer that on the field. The Ducks are 4-6 against the spread this season but that improves to 4-2 when looking at their last 6 games against Utah. They’re strangely better covering the spread on the road compared to at home, as they have a 1-5 record there a but 3-1 road record.
Much of the outcome here will come down to which team can run the ball better. Oregon and Utah are 10th and 16th in rushing offense respectively, and Utah’s 5.86 yards per rush comes in at number four overall nationally.
It looks wise to take the over in this one – in conference play, Utah leads the Pac-12 in scoring offense (38.4) as well as total offense per game (466.3). They also lead in touchdowns scored (36) and rushing touchdowns (24). Granted, their division is easier than Oregon’s. But it’s a sign that even the lower ranked team in this matchup has a high-powered offense.
Oregon put up big numbers last week against Washington State in a win, particularly on the ground. They rushed for 306 yards and 4 touchdowns, and this included 123 yards and 1 TD by QB Anthony Brown. Their main running back, Travis Dye, is coming off an 88 yard game with a touchdown in both the receiving and running game. Dye has had 100+ all-purpose yards in 6 of the last 7 games.
The Ducks also have the biggest impact maker on defense in Kayvon Thibodeaux. The projected number one overall pick kept up his good form last week, recording two sacks vs WSU.
This one will have two talented offenses facing each other, and it’s likely that a Utah win would be very close with only a small margin of victory. Oregon is the safe pick here, even as the underdog in the odds.
Prediction: Oregon +3 (-105)
Oregon vs Utah Trends And Insights
- The total has gone under in 5 of Oregon’s last 6 road games.
- The total has gone over in all 5 of Utah’s last 5 games.
- Utah is first in the Pac-12 and 19th in the FBS in scoring offense (35.7).
- Utah has recorded 450 or more yards of offense in 7 games, including the last 6.
- Oregon QB Anthony Brown is number one overall in the conference with 551 rushing yards and 8 touchdowns.
- Oegon are 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games vs Utah.
Make sure to check out our other college football articles for more picks and news!